Hedging

The Biggest Event Risks In June

The Biggest Event Risks In June

Today being the first day of June, and the start of the last month of the first half of 2016, we thought it would be aptly appropriate to list down some of the biggest event risks that June will bring. These are the known unknowns — uncertainties which we already know about but not their outcomes.

The biggest risks in June (in our opinion) will be the EU referendum by the UK in the later part of the month, the June ECB monetary policy decision and press conference, the June FOMC statement and interest rate decision, and lastly the BoJ's monetary policy decision.

We feel markets will likely be most sensitive to these types of events, having chopped around for almost half a year now. There is great anticipation for guidance on where to go next, and we feel markets will likely take cues from central banks, chiefly the Fed.

Goldman's Take On Enhancing Returns In A Yield Deprived World

Goldman's Take On Enhancing Returns In A Yield Deprived World

Traders and asset managers across the world have found themselves in a market deprived of yield. We have our central bankers and their policies of zero or negative interest rates to thank.

The quest to find every marginal basis point of return has led the smartest minds to venture where few dare to. There has perhaps never been a time with this abundance of money being left clueless on where next to pour into for that extra basis point of alpha. This scares us.

There are various ways in which zero-yielding cash tries to gain alpha. One such way, and one which we feel has been one of the best and most consistent strategies to enhance returns, is to sell short-term volatility (vol) on U.S. equities.

This often misunderstood and underrated strategy has generated an impressive overall return through the last decade. The consistency of this strategy is what attracts us, along with its relative simplicity both in theory and practice.

Bill Gross: "Nightmare Panic Selling" Coming

Bill Gross: "Nightmare Panic Selling" Coming

When Bill Gross speaks, the markets better listen. At Business Of Finance, we reserve a great reverence for Mr Gross not only for his adept ability to foretell mega trends in the financial markets, but also because the man has a rare talent in piecing everything together to form investment thesis that have proven to work well.

Retail investors and traders now have access to very complex financial instruments such as bond fund and volatility ETFs, and more recently funds that are synthesized using cross currency total return swaps on extremely illiquid markets such as a ferrous commodity contract that trades on a futures exchange in China.

Bill Gross' latest investment outlook titled "It Never Rains In California" delves into the reasons why the bond king believe a fat tail may be in the making, and why investors and traders should be prepared for it by having enough liquidity when the boat tips.

Do retail investors and traders really know what they have involved themselves with? We hope so, but logic tells us otherwise.